The Sunday Drive - 06/01/2025 Edition [#165]
Musings and Meanderings of a Financial Provocateur
šš¼ Hello friends! Letās enjoy a leisurely Sunday Drive around the internet and hope that June brings better weather to the Northeast.
š¶ Vibin'
This week, Iām vibinā to a wonderfully competitive foursome of musicians. Itās a welcome reminder that we donāt always have to take ourselves so seriously. Enjoy.
š Ā Quote of the Weekā
āThereās very little I like shorting more than hubrisā
ā Cade Massey
š Ā Chart of the Week
Where to Now?
The first Chart this week screams a warning: U.S. households have 71% of their financial assets in equities, just 8% in bonds, and 20% in cash. After a decade and a half-long bull market, this imbalance isnāt surprisingābut it is precarious.
The second Chart helps explain how we got here: since 2009, the S&P 500 Total Return Index has surged nearly 1,000%, while the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index has returned just 56%. When one asset class dominates by that much and for that long, behavioral finance tells us recency bias can take overāand portfolios become dangerously one-sided.
But we are no longer in 2009. Investors are older. According to the Census Bureau, the median age in the U.S. hit 39 in 2022āthe highest on recordāand over 10,000 Americans turn 65 every day. That demographic shift collides with another reality: the majority of equity exposure for many households is held in taxable accounts. So de-risking isnāt just about reallocating capitalāitās about managing embedded gains, tax drag, and sequence-of-return risk.
Asset location matters more than ever. Tax-efficient rebalancing, charitable gifting of appreciated stock, and strategically using Roth conversions or tax-managed funds should be top-of-mind. Meanwhile, replacing part of the equity allocation with hedged strategies, buffered ETFs, or even cash-flow-aligned fixed income can smooth volatility and reduce drawdown risk.
In short, more and more investors need to shift their mindset from āHow much can I make?ā to āHow do I keep what Iāve made?ā The answer lies not just in what you ownābut where you own it.
Sources
š Interesting Drive-By's
š” Conviction-Led Contrarianism
š Sam Altman Wants AI to Create a One-Person Unicorn Worth a Billion Dollars
šÆ Knowledge Work is DyingāWelcome to the Age of Wisdom Work
š¤ Vitamin D May Slow Cellsā Aging by Protecting DNA
šø How Big Homebuilders & Private Equity Made American Cities Unaffordable
šš¼ Parting Thought
Imagine⦠Just a dude managing the worldās most boring hedge fund, his dog, and a floating river office. š
If you have any cool articles or ideas that might be interesting for future Sunday Drive-by's, please send them along or tweet 'em (X āem?) at me.
Please note that the content in The Sunday Drive is intended for informational purposes only, and is in no way intended to be financial, legal, tax, marital, or even cooking advice. Consult your own professionals as needed. The views expressed in The Sunday Drive are mine alone, and are not necessarily the views of Investment Research Partners.
āI hope you have a relaxing weekend and a great week ahead. See you next Sunday...
Your faithful financial provocateur,
-Mikeā
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